Civic Coalition is favored at 55% as of 18 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC across 5 markets.
- Civic Coalition: 55% (24h change 0%)
- Law and Justice: 44% (24h change 0%)
- Confederation: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Third Way: 6% (24h change 0%)
- The Left: 1% (24h change 0%)
Poland general election winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Poland general election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Poland general election winner?
Civic Coalition is favored at 55% as of 18 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Poland general election winner?
Civic Coalition: 55%; Law and Justice: 44%; Confederation: 7%; Third Way: 6%; The Left: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.