Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by Kalshi2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee·Dave Smith·98%(+88.1%)Will Graham Platner drop out?·Before Jul 14, 2026·96.1%(+86.2%)When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?·Before Dec 1, 2026·82%(+72%)WA-06 primary: who will advance?·Teresa Fox·91%(+71%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·85%(+70%)When will a Trump passport be issued?·Before Jul 20, 2026·99%(+45%)NY-13 Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 75k·9%(-44%)TN-09 Republican nominee?·Brent Taylor·65%(+42%)Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?·Before Nov 3, 2026·3%(-38%)Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?·Graham Platner·2%(-37%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·49%(-37%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Rand Paul·88%(+37%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)·Above 0·19%(-35%)Who will AOC endorse?·Graham Platner·1%(-26%)Maine-Texas Senate Combo·James Talarico and Graham Platner·2%(-26%)
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Summary

Dave Smith is favored at 98% as of 7 Jul 2026, 14:32 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Dave Smith: 98% (24h change +88.1%)
  • Justin Amash: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • Chase Oliver: 21% (24h change +5%)
  • Jo Jorgensen: 9.4% (24h change 0%)
  • Michael Rectenwald: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Larry Sharpe: 4.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Spike Cohen: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
  • Jacob Hornberger: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Lars Mapstead: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Joshua Smith: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Gary Johnson: 1% (24h change 0%)
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2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

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