Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 64% as of 14 Sep 2026, 15:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 64% (24h change 0%)
- Ekrem İmamoğlu: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Mansur Yavaş: 5.9% (24h change 0%)
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
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About this market
Market question: Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 64% as of 14 Sep 2026, 15:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 64%; Ekrem İmamoğlu: 21%; Mansur Yavaş: 5.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.