Powered by KalshiNew Jersey Republican Senate nominee?·Justin Murphy·99.1%(+98.9%)CA-02 primary: Who will advance?·Jared Huffman·1.1%(-94.4%)CA-31 primary: Who will advance?·Eric Ching·0.2%(-94.3%)CA-08 primary: Who will advance?·Rudy Recile·1%(-93.5%)CA-12 primary: first place·Lateefah Simon·2%(-91%)CA-41 primary: Who will advance?·Mitch Clemmons·1%(-91%)CA-19 primary: Who will advance?·Jimmy Panetta·5%(-90.5%)CA-27 House winner?·Democratic party·90.4%(+89.4%)CA-16 primary: first place·Sam Liccardo·2%(-89%)CA-32 primary: first place·Brad Sherman·3%(-89%)CA-10 primary: Who will advance?·Mark DeSaulnier·5%(-88.9%)CA-21 primary: first place·Jim Costa·2%(-88%)CA-33 primary: Who will advance?·Tom Herman·1%(-88%)CA-36 primary: Who will advance?·Melissa Toomim·0.2%(-87.8%)CA-34 primary: Who will advance?·Jimmy Gomez·5.5%(-87.3%)

Powered by KalshiNew Jersey Republican Senate nominee?·Justin Murphy·99.1%(+98.9%)CA-02 primary: Who will advance?·Jared Huffman·1.1%(-94.4%)CA-31 primary: Who will advance?·Eric Ching·0.2%(-94.3%)CA-08 primary: Who will advance?·Rudy Recile·1%(-93.5%)CA-12 primary: first place·Lateefah Simon·2%(-91%)CA-41 primary: Who will advance?·Mitch Clemmons·1%(-91%)CA-19 primary: Who will advance?·Jimmy Panetta·5%(-90.5%)CA-27 House winner?·Democratic party·90.4%(+89.4%)CA-16 primary: first place·Sam Liccardo·2%(-89%)CA-32 primary: first place·Brad Sherman·3%(-89%)CA-10 primary: Who will advance?·Mark DeSaulnier·5%(-88.9%)CA-21 primary: first place·Jim Costa·2%(-88%)CA-33 primary: Who will advance?·Tom Herman·1%(-88%)CA-36 primary: Who will advance?·Melissa Toomim·0.2%(-87.8%)CA-34 primary: Who will advance?·Jimmy Gomez·5.5%(-87.3%)

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MT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Odds history

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All options

Ryan Busse, 0-5%

39%

—

90

Sam Forstag wins

38%

—

315

Ryan Busse, 5-10%

14%

—

79

Ryan Busse, 10-15%

8%

—

101

Ryan Busse, 15-20%

2%

—

68

Ryan Busse, ≥20%

0%

—

3,322