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Live market summary

PQ is favored at 90.8% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC across 5 markets.

  • PQ: 90.8% (24h change -2.9%)
  • PLQ: 8% (24h change +2.1%)
  • CAQ: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • PCQ: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • QS: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
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Quebec National Assembly election winner?

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Odds history

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PQ

90.8%
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PLQ

8%
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CAQ

3%
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PCQ

0.1%
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QS

0.1%
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About this market

Market question: Quebec National Assembly election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Quebec National Assembly election winner?

PQ is favored at 90.8% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Quebec National Assembly election winner?

PQ: 90.8%; PLQ: 8%; CAQ: 3%; PCQ: 0.1%; QS: 0.1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.