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Summary

Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 7.6% as of 20 Aug 2026, 04:33 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 20, 2029: 7.6% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2027: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

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