Ohio is favored at 98.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC across 25 markets.
- Ohio: 98.7% (24h change 0%)
- Tennessee: 98% (24h change 0%)
- California: 97.2% (24h change -1.2%)
- Texas: 97.2% (24h change -0.8%)
- North Carolina: 96.2% (24h change -1.4%)
- Louisiana: 96% (24h change 0%)
- Florida: 93.3% (24h change -3.2%)
- Arizona: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Kansas: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
- Wisconsin: 3.8% (24h change 0%)
- South Carolina: 3% (24h change -0.8%)
- Indiana: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Maryland: 2.9% (24h change 0%)
- Utah: 2.5% (24h change 0%)
- Virginia: 2.4% (24h change -0.1%)
- New York: 2.4% (24h change 0%)
- Alabama: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Washington: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
- New Jersey: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
- Missouri: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
- Georgia: 1.4% (24h change 0%)
- Minnesota: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
- Illinois: 1% (24h change -0.5%)
- Mississippi: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Nebraska: 1% (24h change 0%)
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Ohio is favored at 98.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 12:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Ohio: 98.7%; Tennessee: 98%; California: 97.2%; Texas: 97.2%; North Carolina: 96.2%; Louisiana: 96%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.