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Live market summary

At least 15 is favored at 84% as of 23 Sep 2026, 01:05 UTC across 10 markets.

  • At least 15: 84% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 16: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 17: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 18: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 19: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 20: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 21: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 22: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 23: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 24: 7% (24h change 0%)
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How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

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About this market

Market question: How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 15 is favored at 84% as of 23 Sep 2026, 01:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 15: 84%; At least 16: 66%; At least 17: 61%; At least 18: 49%; At least 19: 36%; At least 20: 31%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.