Matthew McConaughey is favored at 45% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:05 UTC across 10 markets.
- Matthew McConaughey: 45% (24h change 0%)
- Jake Paul: 7.7% (24h change 0%)
- Joe Kent: 6.5% (24h change 0%)
- Mark Cuban: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Nicki Minaj: 5.4% (24h change 0%)
- Glenn Youngkin: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Matt Gaetz: 1.1% (24h change 0%)
- Casey DeSantis: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Paul Finebaum: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Danica Patrick: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will run for public office in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will run for public office in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will run for public office in 2026?
Matthew McConaughey is favored at 45% as of 4 Oct 2026, 00:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will run for public office in 2026?
Matthew McConaughey: 45%; Jake Paul: 7.7%; Joe Kent: 6.5%; Mark Cuban: 6%; Nicki Minaj: 5.4%; Glenn Youngkin: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.