Guilherme Derrite is favored at 85% as of 2 Oct 2026, 21:06 UTC across 5 markets.
- Guilherme Derrite: 85% (24h change 0%)
- André do Prado: 80% (24h change +20%)
- Ricardo Salles: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Simone Tebet: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Marina Silva: 10% (24h change 0%)
São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
Guilherme Derrite is favored at 85% as of 2 Oct 2026, 21:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
Guilherme Derrite: 85%; André do Prado: 80%; Ricardo Salles: 20%; Simone Tebet: 10%; Marina Silva: 10%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.