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Live market summary

AfD is favored at 55% as of 7 Oct 2026, 11:06 UTC across 7 markets.

  • AfD: 55% (24h change +1%)
  • BSW: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • SPD: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • CDU: 11% (24h change -2%)
  • Greens: 10% (24h change -9%)
  • Die Linke: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • FDP: 6% (24h change 0%)
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Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

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All options

AfD

55%
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BSW

19%
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SPD

12%
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CDU

11%
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Greens

10%
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FDP

6%
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About this market

Market question: Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

AfD is favored at 55% as of 7 Oct 2026, 11:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

AfD: 55%; BSW: 19%; SPD: 12%; CDU: 11%; Greens: 10%; Die Linke: 8%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.