Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 76% as of 30 Jul 2026, 16:03 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Aug 1, 2028: 76% (24h change 0%)
Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
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About this market
Market question: Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdo?
Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 76% as of 30 Jul 2026, 16:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdo?
Before Aug 1, 2028: 76%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.