Live market summary
Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 56% as of 4 Aug 2026, 07:03 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Aug 1, 2028: 56% (24h change 0%)
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Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
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About this market
Market question: Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
Before Aug 1, 2028 is favored at 56% as of 4 Aug 2026, 07:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
Before Aug 1, 2028: 56%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.