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Live market summary

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals is favored at 75% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC across 5 markets.

  • 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Not nine justices: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
  • 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
  • 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

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About this market

Market question: What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals is favored at 75% as of 4 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals: 75%; 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals: 11%; Not nine justices: 9.8%; 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals: 0.1%; 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals: 0.1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.