Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
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·
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Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0%
(-84%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
23%
(-41%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
15%
(-39%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
8%
(-36%)
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Eric Troutman
·
41%
(+33.3%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
2.2%
(-31.8%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Virginia Senate margin of victory
·
Democrats, 7+ pts
·
88%
(+87.7%)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
·
Before Jun 1, 2026
·
0%
(-84%)
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 11+ pts
·
83%
(+83%)
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
·
Before May 24, 2026
·
0%
(-83%)
FL-10 Republican nominee?
·
Stuart Farber
·
31%
(-45%)
FL-23 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Kaufman
·
16%
(-45%)
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
·
Oregon
·
32%
(-44%)
FL-27 Democratic nominee?
·
Robin Peguero
·
23%
(-41%)
PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory
·
Chris Rabb, 15-20%
·
15%
(-39%)
FL-16 Democratic nominee?
·
Jan Schneider
·
23%
(-37%)
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent
·
20% - 25%
·
8%
(-36%)
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Eric Troutman
·
41%
(+33.3%)
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
·
Diego Morales
·
2.2%
(-31.8%)
CA-37 primary: Who will advance?
·
Baltazar Fedalizo
·
61%
(+31%)
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
·
Democrats, 3+ pts
·
28%
(-31%)
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Before Apr 1, 2027
45
%
▼ -1%
913
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Before Jan 1, 2027
22
%
▲ +7%
3,805
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Before Jul 1, 2026
1.5
%
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0
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