Live market summary
Cisco Aguilar is favored at 89% as of 29 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Cisco Aguilar: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Jim Marchant: 15% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Nevada Secretary of State winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Nevada Secretary of State winner?
Cisco Aguilar is favored at 89% as of 29 Sep 2026, 19:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Nevada Secretary of State winner?
Cisco Aguilar: 89%; Jim Marchant: 15%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.