Live market summary
Texas is favored at 68% as of 29 Sep 2026, 05:05 UTC across 5 markets.
- Texas: 68% (24h change 0%)
- Iowa: 66% (24h change 0%)
- Ohio (special): 65% (24h change 0%)
- Maine: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Alaska: 53% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
Texas is favored at 68% as of 29 Sep 2026, 05:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
Texas: 68%; Iowa: 66%; Ohio (special): 65%; Maine: 57%; Alaska: 53%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.