Before Jan 1, 2035 is favored at 39% as of 15 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC across 6 markets.
- Before Jan 1, 2035: 39% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2033: 34% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2031: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2030: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2028: 9% (24h change -5%)
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Before Jan 1, 2035 is favored at 39% as of 15 Oct 2026, 17:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Before Jan 1, 2035: 39%; Before Jan 1, 2033: 34%; Before Jan 1, 2031: 29%; Before Jan 1, 2030: 22%; Before Jan 1, 2029: 16%; Before Jan 1, 2028: 9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.