Live market summary
PSOE is favored at 85% as of 6 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC across 3 markets.
- PSOE: 85% (24h change 0%)
- People's Party: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Vox: 4% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Spanish general election: 2nd place
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Spanish general election: 2nd place?
PSOE is favored at 85% as of 6 Oct 2026, 15:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Spanish general election: 2nd place?
PSOE: 85%; People's Party: 11%; Vox: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.