People's Party is favored at 86% as of 3 Oct 2026, 20:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- People's Party: 86% (24h change 0%)
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party: 15% (24h change 0%)
- Vox: 9.2% (24h change 0%)
- Sumar: 3.9% (24h change 0%)
Spanish general election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Spanish general election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Spanish general election winner?
People's Party is favored at 86% as of 3 Oct 2026, 20:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Spanish general election winner?
People's Party: 86%; Spanish Socialist Workers' Party: 15%; Vox: 9.2%; Sumar: 3.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.