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Live market summary

Rand Paul is favored at 10% as of 29 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC across 12 markets.

  • Rand Paul: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand: 9% (24h change -1%)
  • Raphael Warnock: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Josh Hawley: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Jerry Moran: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Mike Lee: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Angela Alsobrooks: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Catherine Cortez Masto: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Andy Kim: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Mark Warner: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Ruben Gallego: 4% (24h change -4%)
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Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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About this market

Market question: Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Rand Paul is favored at 10% as of 29 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Rand Paul: 10%; Kirsten Gillibrand: 9%; Raphael Warnock: 9%; Josh Hawley: 8%; Jerry Moran: 8%; Mike Lee: 6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.