Swedish Social Democratic Party is favored at 82% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 8 markets.
- Swedish Social Democratic Party: 82% (24h change 0%)
- Green Party: 69% (24h change 0%)
- Centre Party: 43% (24h change 0%)
- Christian Democrats: 21% (24h change 0%)
- Left Party: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Moderate Party: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Liberals: 16% (24h change 0%)
- Sweden Democrats: 8% (24h change 0%)
Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
Swedish Social Democratic Party is favored at 82% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
Swedish Social Democratic Party: 82%; Green Party: 69%; Centre Party: 43%; Christian Democrats: 21%; Left Party: 20%; Moderate Party: 19%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.