Fireworks Initiative is favored at 58% as of 24 Oct 2026, 18:06 UTC across 4 markets.
- Fireworks Initiative: 58% (24h change 0%)
- War Materiel Act amendment: 32% (24h change 0%)
- AHV VAT financing: 26% (24h change 0%)
- Fair taxes for married couples: 22% (24h change +1%)
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
Fireworks Initiative is favored at 58% as of 24 Oct 2026, 18:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
Fireworks Initiative: 58%; War Materiel Act amendment: 32%; AHV VAT financing: 26%; Fair taxes for married couples: 22%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.