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Live market summary

Kuomintang is favored at 89% as of 7 Oct 2026, 01:15 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Kuomintang: 89% (24h change 0%)
  • Democratic Progressive Party: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Taiwan People’s Party: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Taiwan Local Elections winner?

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About this market

Market question: Taiwan Local Elections winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Taiwan Local Elections winner?

Kuomintang is favored at 89% as of 7 Oct 2026, 01:15 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Taiwan Local Elections winner?

Kuomintang: 89%; Democratic Progressive Party: 15%; Taiwan People’s Party: 1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.