20% or above is favored at 62% as of 27 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC across 3 markets.
- 20% or above: 62% (24h change 0%)
- 50% or above: 11% (24h change 0%)
- 100% or above: 6% (24h change 0%)
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
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About this market
Market question: What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
20% or above is favored at 62% as of 27 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
20% or above: 62%; 50% or above: 11%; 100% or above: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.