Powered by KalshiNew York Attorney General winner?·Saritha Komatireddy·90.2%(+81.6%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·1.6%(-59.4%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·30%(-42%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Justin Jones·23%(-41%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·80%(+39%)Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?·Before Jan 1, 2033·51%(+39%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 10·58%(-34%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 3·37%(+30%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Mark Zuckerberg·69%(+29%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 8·17%(-28%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·51%(-28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 30·69%(+27%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/26 - 8/1)·Above 0·46%(-26%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·41%(-24%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 23·44%(+23%)

Powered by KalshiNew York Attorney General winner?·Saritha Komatireddy·90.2%(+81.6%)Who will drop out of their primary?·James Fishback·1.6%(-59.4%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?·Jon Ossoff·30%(-42%)Navajo Nation presidential election winner?·Justin Jones·23%(-41%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·80%(+39%)Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?·Before Jan 1, 2033·51%(+39%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 10·58%(-34%)How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?·At least 3·37%(+30%)Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?·Mark Zuckerberg·69%(+29%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?·At least 8·17%(-28%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·51%(-28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 30·69%(+27%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/26 - 8/1)·Above 0·46%(-26%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Thomas Massie·41%(-24%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 23·44%(+23%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 49% as of 27 Jul 2026, 23:03 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

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Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Odds history

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Before Jan 1, 2028

49%

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$3

Before Jan 1, 2027

48%

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$5

Before Jul 1, 2027

48%

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$5