Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·16%(-74%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·9%(-52%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·85%(+50%)Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?·Labour, ≥25%·98%(+46%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?·Before Nov 1, 2026·33%(-37%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·82%(+36%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·99%(+33%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Tommy Tuberville·47%(-32%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 200·65%(+31%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Jan 1, 2027·43%(-30%)

Powered by KalshiPeak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 24·1%(-95%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 39·23%(-76%)When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?·Before Jan 1, 2027·16%(-74%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·TB-500·78%(+66%)Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory·Republicans, 25+ pts·3.6%(-61.4%)How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·9%(-52%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·85%(+50%)Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?·Labour, ≥25%·98%(+46%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 23+ pts·5.2%(-44.8%)When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?·Before Nov 1, 2026·33%(-37%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·82%(+36%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 2·99%(+33%)Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Tommy Tuberville·47%(-32%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 200·65%(+31%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Jan 1, 2027·43%(-30%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 17% as of 30 Jul 2026, 23:32 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

policy2 marketsLIVE

Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?

All options

Before Jan 1, 2027

17%

—

$9K

Before Sep 1, 2026

3%

▲ +1%

$20K