Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWho will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?·Morena·86%(+84%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Kshama Sawant·90%(+69%)Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)·At least 4·1%(-50%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?·Vladimir Putin·99%(+49%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Aug 1, 2026·78%(+43%)How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?·Above 249·12%(-42%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5)·Above 200·42%(-37%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Tim Wilkins·17%(-31%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?·Above 40.2%·80%(+25%)Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?·Vladimir Putin·21%(-22%)Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?·Sean Hannity·23%(-22%)Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?·Before Jan 20, 2029·73%(+21%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·29%(+19%)Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?·Wind turbines·29%(+19%)Georgia Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 10+ pts·3%(-18%)
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Live summary

Before January 20, 2029 is favored at 30% as of 5 Jul 2026, 14:33 UTC across 4 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before January 20, 2029: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2028: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2027: 6.6% (24h change -0.2%)
  • Before August 1, 2026: 1.2% (24h change -0.2%)
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Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

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Odds history

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Before 2027

6.6%
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