Michael Cohen is favored at 24% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC across 34 markets.
- Michael Cohen: 24% (24h change -7%)
- Keonne Rodriguez: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Rachel Cherwitz: 14% (24h change -2%)
- Tim Leissner: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Larry Householder: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Julian Assange: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Matt Borges: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Nicole Daedone: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Jared Kushner: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Eric Adams: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
- Robin Smith: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
- Edward Snowden: 9.6% (24h change 0%)
- Torence Hatch: 9.5% (24h change 0%)
- Roger Ver: 7.7% (24h change +2.7%)
- Tal Alexander: 7.5% (24h change 0%)
- Bill Hwang: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Braden John Karony: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Derek Chauvin: 6.2% (24h change 0%)
- Elizabeth Holmes: 6% (24h change 0%)
- John Kiriakou: 5.6% (24h change -7.4%)
- Sean Combs: 5.5% (24h change 0%)
- Steve Bannon: 5.1% (24h change -3.8%)
- Sam Bankman-Fried: 5% (24h change -0.8%)
- Charlie Javice: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Jho Low: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Aimee Bock: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
- Martin Shkreli: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Donald Trump: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Leonard Glenn Francis: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Ghislaine Maxwell: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Kenneth Petty: 2.2% (24h change 0%)
- Nicolás Maduro: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
- Joseph Maldonado: 1.5% (24h change 0%)
- Bob Menendez: 1.3% (24h change -4.7%)
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
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About this market
Market question: Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
Michael Cohen is favored at 24% as of 4 Oct 2026, 09:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
Michael Cohen: 24%; Keonne Rodriguez: 17%; Rachel Cherwitz: 14%; Tim Leissner: 13%; Larry Householder: 13%; Julian Assange: 11%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.