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Live market summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 10% as of 6 Sep 2026, 00:04 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 2% (24h change -1%)
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Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

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About this market

Market question: Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 10% as of 6 Sep 2026, 00:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

Before Jan 1, 2028: 10%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 8%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 2%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.