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Live market summary

At least 6 is favored at 99% as of 5 Oct 2026, 11:34 UTC across 4 markets.

  • At least 6: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 7: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 8: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 9: 3% (24h change 0%)
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How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

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About this market

Market question: How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

At least 6 is favored at 99% as of 5 Oct 2026, 11:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

At least 6: 99%; At least 7: 41%; At least 8: 12%; At least 9: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.