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Live market summary

John Healey is favored at 19% as of 1 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC across 23 markets.

  • John Healey: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Miatta Fahnbulleh: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Indeterminate: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Heidi Alexander: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Lucy Powell: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Lisa Nandy: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Jonathan Reynolds: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Bridget Phillipson: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Chris Bryant: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Ed Miliband: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Angela Eagle: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Alan Campbell: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Alex Norris: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Wes Streeting: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Anneliese Midgley: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Pat McFadden: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Angela Rayner: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Angela Smith: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Douglas Alexander: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Louise Haigh: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Stephen Kinnock: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Yvette Cooper: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Shabana Mahmood: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market

Market question: Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

John Healey is favored at 19% as of 1 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

John Healey: 19%; Miatta Fahnbulleh: 14%; Indeterminate: 6%; Heidi Alexander: 5%; Lucy Powell: 5%; Lisa Nandy: 5%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.