Labour party is favored at 37% as of 4 Oct 2026, 01:04 UTC across 8 markets.
- Labour party: 37% (24h change 0%)
- Reform party: 35% (24h change +1%)
- Conservative party: 25% (24h change 0%)
- Green party: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Liberal Democratic party: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Restore Britain party: 1.7% (24h change 0%)
- Your Party: 0.5% (24h change 0%)
- Bruv party: 0.1% (24h change 0%)
Which party will win the next UK general election?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which party will win the next UK general election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which party will win the next UK general election?
Labour party is favored at 37% as of 4 Oct 2026, 01:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which party will win the next UK general election?
Labour party: 37%; Reform party: 35%; Conservative party: 25%; Green party: 3%; Liberal Democratic party: 2%; Restore Britain party: 1.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.