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Council Tax Replacement is favored at 96% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Council Tax Replacement: 96% (24h change 0%)
  • Capital Gains Tax Rise: 45% (24h change +8%)
  • Inheritance Tax Rise: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Mansion Tax Increase: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • Annual Wealth Tax: 9% (24h change 0%)
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Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

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About this market

Market question: Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

Council Tax Replacement is favored at 96% as of 4 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

Council Tax Replacement: 96%; Capital Gains Tax Rise: 45%; Inheritance Tax Rise: 37%; Mansion Tax Increase: 36%; Annual Wealth Tax: 9%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.