Troy Jackson is favored at 78% as of 29 Sep 2026, 05:05 UTC across 8 markets.
- Troy Jackson: 78% (24h change 0%)
- Tina Kotek: 77% (24h change 0%)
- Angie Nixon: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Keisha Lance Bottoms: 41% (24h change 0%)
- Kathy Hochul: 31% (24h change 0%)
- Chris Pappas: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Abdul El-Sayed: 27% (24h change 0%)
- David Jolly: 24% (24h change 0%)
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
Troy Jackson is favored at 78% as of 29 Sep 2026, 05:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
Troy Jackson: 78%; Tina Kotek: 77%; Angie Nixon: 41%; Keisha Lance Bottoms: 41%; Kathy Hochul: 31%; Chris Pappas: 29%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.