Rebeca Grynspan is favored at 61% as of 8 Oct 2026, 00:06 UTC across 15 markets.
- Rebeca Grynspan: 61% (24h change +5%)
- Rafael Grossi: 13% (24h change -2%)
- Macky Sall: 13% (24h change 0%)
- Olara Otunnu: 10% (24h change 0%)
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Mia Mottley: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Michelle Bachelet: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Amina J. Mohammed: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Gianni Infantino: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Sigrid Kaag: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Alicia Bárcena: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Ivonne A-Baki: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Lana Nusseibeh: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Nickolay Mladenov: 1% (24h change 0%)
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
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Odds history
About this market
Market question: Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
Rebeca Grynspan is favored at 61% as of 8 Oct 2026, 00:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
Rebeca Grynspan: 61%; Rafael Grossi: 13%; Macky Sall: 13%; Olara Otunnu: 10%; Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett: 9%; Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.