BJP-led NDA is favored at 85% as of 14 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- BJP-led NDA: 85% (24h change 0%)
- SP-Congress alliance: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Bahujan Samaj Party: 3% (24h change 0%)
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
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About this market
Market question: Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
BJP-led NDA is favored at 85% as of 14 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
BJP-led NDA: 85%; SP-Congress alliance: 24%; Bahujan Samaj Party: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.