Back
Live summary

Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 79% as of 5 Jul 2026, 15:45 UTC across 8 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Before Jan 20, 2029: 79% (24h change +3%)
  • Before 2028: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2027: 44% (24h change -1%)
  • Before December: 35% (24h change +2%)
  • Before November: 30% (24h change -1%)
  • Before October: 28% (24h change -1%)
  • Before September: 16% (24h change -2%)
  • Before August: 1.9% (24h change -0.2%)
other8 marketsLIVE

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Trade ↗

All options

Before 2027

44%
Trade ↗

Before August

1.9%
Trade ↗