ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·Above 39.5·95%(+94%)FL-13 House winner?·Leela Gray·78%(+62%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·74%(+61%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·4%(-50%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·88%(+48%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·1%(-44%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 4·30%(-44%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·17%(-41%)NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?·Decrease 1-1.99%·45%(+40%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 14+ pts·51%(+30%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Volodymyr Zelenskyy·74%(+29%)
Back
Summary

Before Oct 1, 2027 is favored at 73% as of 20 Aug 2026, 17:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 73% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 69% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 12% (24h change 0%)
presidential4 marketsLIVE

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

Trade ↗

All options