One Nation is favored at 62% as of 10 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC across 5 markets.
- One Nation: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Nationals: 23% (24h change 0%)
- Greens: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Liberal: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Victorian Socialists: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
One Nation is favored at 62% as of 10 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
One Nation: 62%; Nationals: 23%; Greens: 8%; Liberal: 2%; Victorian Socialists: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.