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Live market summary

Liberals and Nationals is favored at 71% as of 19 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC across 3 markets.

  • Liberals and Nationals: 71% (24h change 0%)
  • Australian Labor Party: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • One Nation: 18% (24h change 0%)
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Victorian state election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Victorian state election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Victorian state election winner?

Liberals and Nationals is favored at 71% as of 19 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Victorian state election winner?

Liberals and Nationals: 71%; Australian Labor Party: 23%; One Nation: 18%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.