Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
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LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
2%
(-93.2%)
LA-04 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Johnson
·
2%
(-93.2%)
LA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Lauren Jewett
·
3%
(-92.9%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
6%
(-87.2%)
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
·
Louisiana
·
92.1%
(+80.1%)
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Amanda Pusczek
·
4%
(-78%)
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Jenny Le Roux
·
77%
(+72.1%)
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?
·
Buddy Carter
·
6%
(-71%)
LA-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Conrad Cable
·
2%
(-58%)
LA-06 Republican nominee?
·
Larry Davis
·
2%
(-51%)
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
·
Tia LeBrun
·
1%
(-48%)
FL-23 Democratic nominee?
·
Jared Moskowitz
·
9.1%
(-47.9%)
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dennis Feitosa
·
26%
(-39%)
CA-45 primary: Who will advance?
·
Chuong Vo
·
62%
(+39%)
DE-AL Republican nominee?
·
Lee Murphy
·
39%
(+39%)
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Kalshi
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
·
Troy Carter
·
2%
(-93.2%)
LA-04 Republican nominee?
·
Mike Johnson
·
2%
(-93.2%)
LA-01 Democratic nominee?
·
Lauren Jewett
·
3%
(-92.9%)
AL-04 Republican nominee?
·
Robert Aderholt
·
6%
(-87.2%)
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
·
Louisiana
·
92.1%
(+80.1%)
AL-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Amanda Pusczek
·
4%
(-78%)
CA-47 primary: Who will advance?
·
Jenny Le Roux
·
77%
(+72.1%)
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?
·
Buddy Carter
·
6%
(-71%)
LA-04 Democratic nominee?
·
Conrad Cable
·
2%
(-58%)
LA-06 Republican nominee?
·
Larry Davis
·
2%
(-51%)
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
·
Tia LeBrun
·
1%
(-48%)
FL-23 Democratic nominee?
·
Jared Moskowitz
·
9.1%
(-47.9%)
CA-30 primary: Who will advance?
·
Dennis Feitosa
·
26%
(-39%)
CA-45 primary: Who will advance?
·
Chuong Vo
·
62%
(+39%)
DE-AL Republican nominee?
·
Lee Murphy
·
39%
(+39%)
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Volume
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At least 80%
99.1
%
—
320
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70% - 75%
0.5
%
—
0
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75% - 80%
0.2
%
—
279
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Below 50%
0
%
—
0
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50% - 55%
0
%
—
463
Trade ↗
55% - 60%
0
%
—
0
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60% - 65%
0
%
—
0
Trade ↗
65% - 70%
0
%
—
0
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