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Powered by KalshiMI-08 Republican nominee?·Amir Hassan·2%(-96%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·99%(+89%)MO-08 Democratic nominee?·Frank A Barnitz·1%(-88%)MO-01 Republican nominee?·Paul Berry III·99%(+87%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, ≥15%·94%(+86%)Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?·Wayne·8%(-79%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·94%(+77%)KS-01 Democratic nominee?·Colin McRoberts·1%(-70%)WA-09 primary: who will advance?·Douglas Michael Basler·16%(-64%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?·Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%·60%(+56%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 60·14%(-55%)Alabama Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 13+ pts·37%(-55%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Lore Bergman·7%(-49%)
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Summary

At least 37% is favored at 49% as of 5 Aug 2026, 03:35 UTC across 19 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 37%: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 38%: 49% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 39%: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 40%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 43%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 44%: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 41%: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 45%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 42%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 47%: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 55%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 48%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 46%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 49%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 50%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 51%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 54%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 52%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 53%: 1% (24h change 0%)
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MO-01 Democratic primary: Cori Bush vote percent

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