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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·40%(-43%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·6.3%(-40.7%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·David Leslie·97%(+38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)IA-03 House winner?·Zach Nunn·28%(-31%)
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Summary

2 is favored at 30% as of 8 Aug 2026, 16:05 UTC across 5 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 2: 30% (24h change 0%)
  • 3: 25% (24h change 0%)
  • 4: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 1: 9.1% (24h change 0%)
  • 6: 8.7% (24h change 0%)
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How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?

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Odds history

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2

30%
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3

25%
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4

13%
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1

9.1%
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6

8.7%
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