Joseph Aoun is favored at 89% as of 6 Jul 2026, 17:03 UTC across 25 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

• Joseph Aoun: 89% (24h change +1%)
• Xi Jinping: 86% (24h change -2%)
• Elon Musk: 71% (24h change 0%)
• Mark Carney: 70% (24h change 0%)
• Volodymyr Zelenskyy: 60% (24h change 0%)
• Abdel Fattah al-Sisi: 57% (24h change 0%)
• Hakeem Jeffries: 55% (24h change +5%)
• John Ternus: 38% (24h change 0%)
• Claudia Sheinbaum: 32% (24h change 0%)
• Gavin Newsom: 22% (24h change 0%)
• Anutin Charnvirakul: 22% (24h change 0%)
• Cristiano Ronaldo: 21% (24h change 0%)
• Abiy Ahmed: 21% (24h change 0%)
• Jaxson Dart: 19% (24h change -8%)
• Bill Maher: 18% (24h change 0%)
• Hun Manet: 18% (24h change 0%)
• Vladimir Putin: 12% (24h change +2.4%)
• Bola Ahmed Tinubu: 12% (24h change 0%)
• Eric Adams: 11% (24h change 0%)
• Pope Leo XIV: 8.6% (24h change 0%)
• Barack Obama: 8.2% (24h change 0%)
• Marjorie Taylor Greene: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
• Jerome Powell: 7.7% (24h change 0%)
• Reza Pahlavi: 6% (24h change 0%)
• Joe Biden: 3.1% (24h change 0%)