Powered by KalshiCA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·99%(+99%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·99%(+99%)CA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?·Mike Collins, 10-15%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)WA-02 primary: who will advance?·Rick Larsen·99%(+99%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)MI-01 Democratic nominee?·Callie Barr·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)FL-26 Democratic nominee?·Nicole Locklin·97%(+97%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·97%(+97%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·96%(+96%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·94%(+94%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·John Rutherford·93%(+93%)

Powered by KalshiCA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·99%(+99%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·99%(+99%)CA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?·Mike Collins, 10-15%·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)WA-02 primary: who will advance?·Rick Larsen·99%(+99%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)MI-01 Democratic nominee?·Callie Barr·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)FL-26 Democratic nominee?·Nicole Locklin·97%(+97%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·97%(+97%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·96%(+96%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Carmela Conroy·94%(+94%)FL-05 Republican nominee?·John Rutherford·93%(+93%)

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When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

Odds history

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All options

Before 2030

29%

▼ -16%

0

Before 2029

25%

▼ -4%

0

Before 2028

14%

▼ -4%

345

Before 2027

2.1%

▼ -6.7%

0