Live market summary
Kurt Alme is favored at 91.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Kurt Alme: 91.7% (24h change -1.3%)
- Seth Bodnar: 7.3% (24h change -0.3%)
- Alani Bankhead: 1.3% (24h change +0.2%)
About this market
Market question: Montana Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Montana Senate winner?
Kurt Alme is favored at 91.7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Montana Senate winner?
Kurt Alme: 91.7%; Seth Bodnar: 7.3%; Alani Bankhead: 1.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.