Live market summary
Ben Ray Luján is favored at 98.5% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Ben Ray Luján: 98.5% (24h change 0%)
- Larry E. Marker: 1.9% (24h change +0.8%)
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New Mexico Senate winner?
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About this market
Market question: New Mexico Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in New Mexico Senate winner?
Ben Ray Luján is favored at 98.5% as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for New Mexico Senate winner?
Ben Ray Luján: 98.5%; Larry E. Marker: 1.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.