Live market summary
Jeff Merkley is favored at 99.1% as of 3 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- Jeff Merkley: 99.1% (24h change 0%)
- David Brock Smith: 0.3% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Oregon Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Oregon Senate winner?
Jeff Merkley is favored at 99.1% as of 3 Oct 2026, 21:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Oregon Senate winner?
Jeff Merkley: 99.1%; David Brock Smith: 0.3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.