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U.S. Midterms 2026
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How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
·
Above 41,000
·
97%
(+92%)
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
·
Leonard Glenn Francis
·
13%
(-86%)
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
·
Above 16,000
·
94%
(+85%)
Clacton by-election: 3rd place
·
Rejoin EU
·
99%
(+82%)
Clacton by-election margin of victory?
·
Reform UK, ≥40%
·
1%
(-82%)
Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?
·
Lesil McGuire
·
76%
(+73%)
Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?
·
Darline Graham
·
99%
(+72%)
Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent
·
At least 25%
·
99%
(+64%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Steve Bannon
·
29%
(-57%)
FL-11 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Strada
·
73%
(+55%)
Which states will Trump visit in 2026?
·
South Carolina
·
93%
(+54%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
·
Rahm Emanuel
·
24%
(-53%)
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
·
At least 3
·
6%
(-51%)
WY-AL Republican nominee?
·
Kevin Christensen
·
51%
(+50%)
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
·
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
·
53%
(+47.2%)
Powered by
Kalshi
How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
·
Above 41,000
·
97%
(+92%)
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
·
Leonard Glenn Francis
·
13%
(-86%)
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
·
Above 16,000
·
94%
(+85%)
Clacton by-election: 3rd place
·
Rejoin EU
·
99%
(+82%)
Clacton by-election margin of victory?
·
Reform UK, ≥40%
·
1%
(-82%)
Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?
·
Lesil McGuire
·
76%
(+73%)
Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?
·
Darline Graham
·
99%
(+72%)
Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent
·
At least 25%
·
99%
(+64%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Steve Bannon
·
29%
(-57%)
FL-11 Republican nominee?
·
Joe Strada
·
73%
(+55%)
Which states will Trump visit in 2026?
·
South Carolina
·
93%
(+54%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
·
Rahm Emanuel
·
24%
(-53%)
Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?
·
At least 3
·
6%
(-51%)
WY-AL Republican nominee?
·
Kevin Christensen
·
51%
(+50%)
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
·
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
·
53%
(+47.2%)
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Michael Carbonara
Michael Carbonara
Republican
Kalshi odds for Michael Carbonara. 2 markets tracked.
Top odds
44%
▼ -4%
Michael Carbonara
Markets
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Michael Carbonara
FL-22 Republican nominee?
-4%
44%
At least 45%
FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent
11%
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